Nuclearization Politics: Withdrawing to Engage

Developments:

The Trump Administration withdraws the USA from the JCPOA and reimposes sanctions on Iran.

Significance:

By withdrawing from the nuclear deal, the USA has at least further increased prospects for regional insecurity. Iranian conservatives gain domestic traction following the USA withdrawal and projections for moderate governmental reforms are effectively incapacitated.

Directions:

Iran currently remains in the JCPOA, but can retract its role in the agreement and adherence to its terms. Yet, if taking into consideration that Iran was in accordance with the agreement, it has already suffered significant setbacks to its nuclear program already. The member states of Europe can likewise remain in the deal, although this is not a guaranteed scenario either.